I like The New York Giants with the money line (+ $140 to + $150) and Under 53 1/2. Brady will have to win this game by himself. He is too overrated to do so. Go Giants.
Final: Giants 33, Pats 20
Sunday, February 5, 2012
Friday, January 20, 2012
How does Tom Brady get mentioned in the same breath as Joe Montana?
(TDS Include Rushing/ Final YDS/PG Include Rushing)
Tom Brady Superbowls:
Vs STL Rams: 16 of 27, 145 Yards 1 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Vs CAR Panthers: 32 of 48, 354 Yards 3 TD 1 INT (MVP)
Vs PHI Eagles: 23 of 33, 236 Yards 2 TD 0 INT
Vs NY Giants: 29 of 48, 266 Yards 1 TD 0 INT
Record 3-1. 254 YDS/PG; 1.75 TD/PG to .25 INT/PG; 64% Completion Percentage; 6.42 YDS/ATT
NE Avg. PPG = 23
Joe Montana Superbowls:
Vs CIN Bengals: 14 of 22, 157 Yards 2 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Vs MIA Dolphins: 24 of 35, 331 Yards 4 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Vs CIN Bengals: 23 of 36, 357 Yards 2 TD 0 INT
Vs DEN Broncos: 22 of 29, 297 Yards 5 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Record 4-0. 312 YDS/PG; 3.25 TD/PG to 0 INT/PG; 68% Completion Percentage; 9.36 YDS/ATT
SF Avg. PPG = 35
Joe Averaged 1.5 more TDs per game and almost 3 more YDS/ATT. His teams averaged 12 more PPG and Joe could very easily have had a 4th MVP for his 357 Yard, 2 TD 0 INT performance his second time around against the Bengals. Brady was more than lucky to get his 1st MVP where the offense was responsible for only 13 points in that game. The only offensive touchdown coming on a 40 Yard drive after a STL fumble, the other TD coming from a Ty Law INT return. One of the field goals cam off a turnover where NE drove a total of 11 yards! It sickens me when Brady gets mentioned with him. That is why I must root against him at every turn.
Tom Brady Superbowls:
Vs STL Rams: 16 of 27, 145 Yards 1 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Vs CAR Panthers: 32 of 48, 354 Yards 3 TD 1 INT (MVP)
Vs PHI Eagles: 23 of 33, 236 Yards 2 TD 0 INT
Vs NY Giants: 29 of 48, 266 Yards 1 TD 0 INT
Record 3-1. 254 YDS/PG; 1.75 TD/PG to .25 INT/PG; 64% Completion Percentage; 6.42 YDS/ATT
NE Avg. PPG = 23
Joe Montana Superbowls:
Vs CIN Bengals: 14 of 22, 157 Yards 2 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Vs MIA Dolphins: 24 of 35, 331 Yards 4 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Vs CIN Bengals: 23 of 36, 357 Yards 2 TD 0 INT
Vs DEN Broncos: 22 of 29, 297 Yards 5 TD 0 INT (MVP)
Record 4-0. 312 YDS/PG; 3.25 TD/PG to 0 INT/PG; 68% Completion Percentage; 9.36 YDS/ATT
SF Avg. PPG = 35
Joe Averaged 1.5 more TDs per game and almost 3 more YDS/ATT. His teams averaged 12 more PPG and Joe could very easily have had a 4th MVP for his 357 Yard, 2 TD 0 INT performance his second time around against the Bengals. Brady was more than lucky to get his 1st MVP where the offense was responsible for only 13 points in that game. The only offensive touchdown coming on a 40 Yard drive after a STL fumble, the other TD coming from a Ty Law INT return. One of the field goals cam off a turnover where NE drove a total of 11 yards! It sickens me when Brady gets mentioned with him. That is why I must root against him at every turn.
NYG +2.5 and Under 42 (Also suggesting a teaser here NYG+8.5 and Under 48)
This was an extremely difficult pick to make as I like both these teams so much. I am going to break this game down into parts...
Passing Off: Moderate Advantage Giants
Running Off: Slight Advantage 49ers
Run DEF: Slight Advantage 49ers
Pass DEF: Even (49ers better secondary, NYG better pass rush)
Special Teams: Slight Advantage 49ers
Intangibles: Slight Advantage 49ers
The 49ers Red Zone Defense, excellent secondary/pass rush, and the fact that I believe the Giants will not be able to run the ball at all in this game will keep the score very low. The Giants, if they are to win this game, will have to get to Alex Smith early and often and force turnovers. The problem is Smith hasn't turned the ball over this year and he won't start this week. The 49ers DEF has already played the best Offense in football and caused 5 turnovers. They hit hard. I believe they will win the turnover battle this week but they will be significantly outgained through the air. This will be an incredibly close contest decided by less than a field goal. The winner of this game will win the Superbowl (my initial playoff prediction). Eli Manning is by far the better of the QBs and in my opinion playing the best QB of anyone left in the playoffs, if the game comes down to him he will probably pull it out. I am conflicted here but must make a prediction. The 49ers secondary will neutralize Hakeem Nicks and make enough big plays in all three phases to pull this game out.
Final 49ers 20, Giants 19
Passing Off: Moderate Advantage Giants
Running Off: Slight Advantage 49ers
Run DEF: Slight Advantage 49ers
Pass DEF: Even (49ers better secondary, NYG better pass rush)
Special Teams: Slight Advantage 49ers
Intangibles: Slight Advantage 49ers
The 49ers Red Zone Defense, excellent secondary/pass rush, and the fact that I believe the Giants will not be able to run the ball at all in this game will keep the score very low. The Giants, if they are to win this game, will have to get to Alex Smith early and often and force turnovers. The problem is Smith hasn't turned the ball over this year and he won't start this week. The 49ers DEF has already played the best Offense in football and caused 5 turnovers. They hit hard. I believe they will win the turnover battle this week but they will be significantly outgained through the air. This will be an incredibly close contest decided by less than a field goal. The winner of this game will win the Superbowl (my initial playoff prediction). Eli Manning is by far the better of the QBs and in my opinion playing the best QB of anyone left in the playoffs, if the game comes down to him he will probably pull it out. I am conflicted here but must make a prediction. The 49ers secondary will neutralize Hakeem Nicks and make enough big plays in all three phases to pull this game out.
Final 49ers 20, Giants 19
NE -7 and Over 50
As good as that Baltimore Defense is NE just has too many weapons on offense. I don't see them being held to Under 24 points which is what would be necessary for Flacco and the Ravens to win. The Ravens will find it much easier to score points this week as the Patriots aren't nearly as physical or talented as the Texans. Tom Brady really wants/needs this game for his legacy. He will throw 50 times in this game.
Final: Patriots 31, Baltimore 23
Final: Patriots 31, Baltimore 23
Divisional Round Recap...
Did poorly 3-5 ATS last week. I did however pick the winner of every game correctly and am still perfect in picking the NFC ATS games in the playoffs (not Over/Under). Also if you look at my pre-playoff predictions I offered my picks to win the Superbowl NYG @ 20 to 1 and the 49ers @ 12 to 1; both very much alive and those odds are fantastic. My Superbowl pick of SF Over NE is also still alive. I am having a tough time picking this weeks NFC game as the Giants are hitting on all cylinders.
Sunday, January 15, 2012
Giants +7.5 and Under 54
This will be a battle in the cold. Aaron Rodgers is the best QB in the NFL. I feel like he will have to be near flawless to win today. Their first game was close and the Giants are playing better now. I really feel like this game is toss up so I will take the 7.5 points. I also feel like both teams will score in the mid twenties. I really don't even want to pick a winner here. I am so pumped for this game and like both of these teams so much. I feel overtime. History is always repeating itself.
Final: (OT) Giants 27, Packers 24.
Final: (OT) Giants 27, Packers 24.
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