If this game was played in New Orleans, in the dome, I would be picking the Saints to win by double digits. It is not. The Saints offense just simply isn't the same outdoors and on the road. The 49ers are well rested and have arguably the best defense in the NFL. Against lesser defenses on the road this year the Saints were held to totals of 23, 20, 21, 23 (regulation vs ATL). This offense can be slowed, the Niners are certainly capable. Alex Smith's Total QBR is 71.6 at home. Brees's is 80.5 on the road. If these stats hold today the only real advantage (the passing game) that the Saints have won't be that much of an advantage. The 49ers are better on Defense, Special Teams, and in the running game. They will also have the crowd.
Final: 49ers 23, Saints 20
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